Although the Dodgers are the odds-on favorite to manufacture the league’s best regular season record at DraftKings Sportsbook (-450), as well as representing the MLB betting favorite among World Series odds, they’re a underdog at the Brewers on Tuesday evening. Just how infrequently has that occurred this season? More details are below.
Click on any of the odds to place a wager.
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MLB Betting: Los Angeles Dodgers At Milwaukee Brewers
Per TheLines’ MLB odds comparison table, Los Angeles’ price tag in Milwaukee may be unsurprising to sharper bettors. Dave Roberts’ club will see 24-year-old rookie Ryan Pepiot take the mound against veteran righty Brandon Woodruff.
Nevertheless, the Dodgers are an underdog for only the third time in the 2022 campaign (1-1 record straight-up), representing one of two teams that have been an underdog less than 10 times this season. The Yankees are the other, as AL MVP favorite Aaron Judge & Co. have been plus-money in nine games thus far.
Keep in mind you, Los Angeles produced a similar run last season, which isn’t shocking given its stature in the betting market over the last decade.
MLB Betting Market Properly Valuing Dodgers?
Pepiot showcases a 4.37 xERA and 5.24 FIP, respectively, to go along with 3.92 ERA. Hence, there are no indicators that suggest positive variance is en route — even against an offense that’s tied for MLB’s seventh-lowest collective wRC+.
With that said, Pepiot’s counterpart in Woodruff has delivered a 3.31 xERA to pair with his 3.52 ERA, meaning his pitched just a bit better than the traditional numbers imply. Moreover, he’s been heavily reliant on his four-seam fastball in August (41.7%), and Freddie Freeman and his teammates do much of their damage versus righties that utilize that pitch type more often than not.
Continue the discussion in our Discord betting chat, where bettors discuss their favorite MLB bets, strategies and research. Follow TheLines on Twitter, too.
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